Bayern Munich vs Arsenal Predictions, Betting Tips, Lineups and Odds (2024)

Bayern Munich welcomes Arsenal to Allianz Arena Wednesday.​ Kickoff in the 2nd leg of the UEFA Champions League quarterfinal matchup is set for 3 p.​m.​ ET.​ Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbooks lines around the Bayern Munich vs.​ Arsenal odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.​ Bayern Munich drew Arsenal 2-2 on the road in the 1st leg.​

Match Preview

Bayern Munich vs Arsenal is the rematch of the 2024 Champions League quarterfinal duel.​ The game will take place at Allianz Arena in Munich٫ on Wednesday٫ April 17.​ Bayern Munich and Arsenal drew 2-2 in their first game٫ which was played at Emirates Stadium in London.​ Eight days later٫ the two will meet again at the Allianz Arena for the second leg of the tie٫ with the winner advancing to the semi-finals.

Team News and Lineups

Bayern Munich is not long away from starting their preseason preparations for the 2024/25 seasons with a full squad after all of clubs international return from their respective duties with their nations.​ Naturally, they are given extra time off to rest and recover, but once all of those players are back, Bayern will depart for the Audi Summer Tour in South Korea where they will have a ..​.​

Betting Odds

2.​5.​ -138 / 110.​ Odds via bet365.​ Get up-to-the-minute Soccer odds here.​ One week ago, Arsenal entered their Champions League tie as the clear favorite to advance against Bayern Munich in the public eye and in the betting markets.​ Arsenal also led the Premier League table with seven matches to play.​ A week later, Bayern now have the small edge ..​.

Predictions and Best Bets

This is a creative way to bet a low-scoring game based on correlative prices.​ Both Teams to Score Yes is -190 for the game, a 65.5 percent implied probability with over 2.​5 at -175, a 63.​6 implied probability.​ However, theres something interesting happening with both team totals in this game.​ With over 2.​5 goals juiced to -175, one would assume at least one team total would have juice on over 1.​5 goals.​ Thats not the case; Bayern Munich under 1.​5 goals is -130 while Arsenal under 1.5 goals is -160.​ That tells me this game features no more than three goals.​ Both teams have the underlying metrics to back it up.​ Arsenal lead the Big Five European leagues in expected goals allowed and held Bayern to only 1.1 non-penalty expected goals in the first leg. At the same time, Bayern are fifth continentally in expected goals allowed and held the Gooners to only one expected goal in London.​ Plus, Arsenal could be without captain Martin Odegaard for Wednesdays fixture.​ Amongst Arsenal players with at least 35 starts this season, Odegaard sits third in expected goals expected assists per 90 minutes. The bigger question for this same game parlay is both teams to score.​ I trust Arsenals attack, even on the road, assuming Bayern manager Thomas Tuchel sends out Eric Dier as one of his center-halves.​ In 11 Bayern matches this season where Dier plays at least 70 minutes, theyve kept only two clean sheets.​ However, Arsenal have yet to keep a road clean sheet in the Champions League and still allowed north of one expected goal to Bayern at home.​ With the German giants in a friendlier environment, back them to find the net on Wednesday.

Where to Watch

The game will be broadcast on Paramount+ in the US.​ For international viewers, check your local listings.​

Key Players to Watch

For Bayern Munich, keep an eye on Jamal Musiala and Serge Gnabry, who have been in excellent form this season. On the Arsenal side, Bukayo Saka and Gabriel Jesus are key players to watch.

Head-to-Head Record

These two teams have met 11 times in all competitions, with Bayern Munich holding a slight advantage, winning 5 times and drawing 4 times.​ Arsenal has won only twice.

Match Analysis

Bayern Munich is unbeaten against English competition in this season’s Champions League. This could be a key factor in the second leg as Arsenal is the underdog to reach the semifinals.​

Bayern Munich is a -140 favorite to reach the semifinals and are in a good position to advance. They are unbeaten against English competition in this season’s Champions League and held Arsenal to only 1.​1 non-penalty expected goals in the first leg.​ However, Arsenal is not to be underestimated as they have the underlying metrics to back up a low-scoring game and are capable of finding the net on the road.​

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This talented writer and mathematician holds a Ph.D. in Applied Mathematics and a Masters in Probability Theory. With a deep understanding of the intricacies of casino games, they have published numerous articles on game theory, probability, and combinatorics in relation to gambling. Their expertise in discrete mathematics and stochastic processes has made them a sought-after consultant for licensed casinos worldwide. Their articles, reviews, and news pieces provide valuable insights into the world of casino gaming.

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