Arc de Triomphe 2024 Predictions

The Qatar Prix de lArc de Triomphe is one of the biggest horse races on the planet․ With a 5 million prize-pool٫ it is Europes most valuable race․ First run in 1920٫ the contest has been won by some of the sports all-time greats including Alleged٫ Dancing Brave and Sea The Stars․

In recent years fillies and mares have had an outstanding record in the Prix de lArc de Triomphe․ Treve (2013, 2014) and Enable (2016, 2017) both won the contest in back-to-back years meaning a filly or mare has won six of the last nine runnings of Frances showpiece horse race․

Enable (far side) under Frankie Dettori noses out Sea of Class to win her second Qatar Prix de lArc de Triomphe in 2018․ GettyImages

With the fairer sex supplying three of the market principles, can that record be improved further in 2021? Will Japan finally win the Prix de lArc de Triomphe after 52 years of trying?​ Might the forecast heavy rain on race day provide a bottomless surface and contribute to a shock result?​

We will have to wait until Sunday afternoon for these and many more questions to be answered․ For now, here is a look at the 15 runners in this years globally televised Qatar Prix de lArc de Triomphe․

Top Contenders

One of nine Group 1 winners in the 2021 Prix de lArc de Triomphe field, Adayar was a brilliant winner of the Derby ․ He franked the form with an impressive victory in the King George at Ascot beating Mishriff and Love who re-opposes on Sunday․

However, there are three negatives to consider before supporting this short-priced runner⁚ Adayar was beaten on soft ground earlier in the season․ He missed an intended prep race with an infection in his hind leg․ And he has been drawn in stall 11 statistically, that can be described as highly unfavorable․

Enjoyed an excellent 2020 with four unbeaten runs culminating with victory in the Breeders Cup Turf․ This Irish-trained mare had previously won twice at Group 1 level here at Longchamp with one of those victories coming on a surface described as heavy․

Tarnawa was beaten on her prep-race for the Prix de lArc de Triomphe however, that was at Group 1 level in the Irish Champion Stakes where she had legitimate reasons for her narrow defeat ․ With this race being her year-long target and sure to strip fitter this time, a big run looks inevitable․ A draw in stall three is a huge bonus․

Hurricane Lane took the Grand Prix de Paris over course and distance on a heavy track in July․ As form guides go, what more could you ask for?​ scoopdyga/France-Galop

Acquired course and distance form when landing the Group 1 Grand Prix de Paris on ground described as very soft in July․ Most recently took his record to six wins from seven starts when landing the St Leger․

A son of the unbeaten and brilliant Frankel, Hurricane Lanes only defeat came in the Derby behind Adayar․ He bounced back to land the Irish Derby meaning his 2021 haul includes three Group 1s․ With the ground likely to work in his favor and a great draw coming from stall two, Hurricane Lane looks a solid each-way bet․

Longshot Picks

53/1 second in the French Derby on soft going when last seen in action․ An eight-length Group 1 winner during the Prix de lArc de Triomphe meeting on heavy going last year and fifth in last years Breeders Cup Juvenile․ If there is to be a big-priced shock winner on Sunday, this could be the horse to do it․

Being unraced since June is a major negative ․ A change of trainer is imponderable, a step up in trip is questionable and stall 10 is far from ideal․ However, if this French-trained horse were to win Europes biggest prize, those writing the race reports will use terms such as the form was in the book․

Took five starts to win a race but a remarkable 50/1 second in the Derby on his third outing․ Not so good when a nine length fifth behind Hurricane Lane in the Irish Derby but had that margin down to two-and-three-quarters in the St Leger last time․

Has a peach of a draw from stall one , will not be hindered by soft conditions, and with proven stamina could deliver another big-priced placed effort․

Ridden by Japans version of Frankie Dettori, Yutaka Take, Broome is another horse sure to attract plenty of bets ․ He has almost ten lengths to find with Adayar on King George form but is admirably consistent and will not be inconvenienced by the heavy going․

Second to Deep Bond here at Longchamp three weeks ago, he is short of class at the highest level but is another fancied to make a bold show and beat more than beats him․

Betting Odds

Arc de Triomphe odds from the top online bookies using the betting table below․ It is Europes most famous and richest horse race․ Arc Betting Odds 3․05pm Longchamp, Paris, France, Sunday 6th October 2024 live on ITV; click best odds in bold; Each-Way Place Terms⁚ 1/5 odds 1,2,3․

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History of the Arc de Triomphe

Notable Winners

The Qatar Prix de lArc de Triomphe is one of the biggest horse races on the planet․ With a 5 million prize-pool, it is Europes most valuable race․ First run in 1920, the contest has been won by some of the sports all-time greats including Alleged, Dancing Brave and Sea The Stars․

Trends and Statistics

In recent years fillies and mares have had an outstanding record in the Prix de lArc de Triomphe․ Treve (2013, 2014) and Enable (2016, 2017) both won the contest in back-to-back years meaning a filly or mare has won six of the last nine runnings of Frances showpiece horse race․

Enable (far side) under Frankie Dettori noses out Sea of Class to win her second Qatar Prix de lArc de Triomphe in 2018․ GettyImages

The Arc de Triomphe Racecourse

The Arc de Triomphe is run at Longchamp Racecourse, a beautiful venue situated in the Bois de Boulogne, a large forest on the western edge of Paris․ The track is renowned for its undulating nature and its challenging turns, which can make for a thrilling race․

The going stick is likely to sink very deeply into the Longchamp grass on Sunday․ scoopdyga/France-Galop

Course Description

Longchamp Racecourse is a beautiful venue situated in the Bois de Boulogne, a large forest on the western edge of Paris․ The track is renowned for its undulating nature and its challenging turns, which can make for a thrilling race․

The Arc de Triomphe is run over a distance of 2٫400 meters (1․5 miles) on a right-handed track․ The course is relatively flat٫ but there are a few significant undulations٫ including a steep uphill climb at the start of the race and a downhill section towards the finish․

Weather Conditions

The weather in Paris in October can be unpredictable, with temperatures ranging from mild to chilly․ The ground conditions at Longchamp Racecourse are likely to be soft or heavy, as the race is typically held in the autumn, when the weather is often wet․

Heavy rain is forecast for the day of the Arc, which could significantly affect the race․ A bottomless surface could benefit horses with a proven ability to handle soft ground, while those who prefer firmer conditions may struggle․

The going stick is likely to sink very deeply into the Longchamp grass on Sunday․ scoopdyga/France-Galop

The Qatar Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe is a prestigious race with a rich history, attracting top horses from around the world․ With heavy rain forecast, the race is likely to be a test of stamina and mud-handling ability․ The odds for the race are sure to fluctuate, so it is crucial to stay updated with the latest information and betting tips․

Whether you are a seasoned racing enthusiast or a casual bettor, the Arc de Triomphe offers a thrilling opportunity to witness a spectacle of horse racing․ Good luck to all!​

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